A reader posted a comment on the "NREL, A123Systems battery research" post. He/she said,
"Within 10 years half the automobiles on the road will be battery powered. They will be able to go 200 miles on a charge and be as capable as our current autos. Most power plants will be powered by natural gas or wind and some solar."
Having said this, do you agree? What does our future look like with $10 a gallon of gas? There's no way that our stagnate incomes/slowing economy can afford 10 bucks a gallon. No way. So if gas does get that high what does the world look like? How do we get to work? How does our food get transported to the grocery store? How do our kids get to school? What will containers (made out of petroleum-based plastic) become? Lots of things will have to change with $10 a gallon.
It is an exciting time to be alive and change is coming whether we want or not. But after so many years of easy living in the states (relative to other places around the globe) don't we need a challenge to get the blood moving again, the old brain thinking again, and the will power thriving again? I think so, do you?
Justin Rickard, you are a hero.
ReplyDeleteI hope this quote comes true. The automobile part is certainly possible, if you consider the very short time it took for us to go from the first car in the late 1800s to the mass-produced Model-T and all the infrastructure that came quickly with it. Or the time it took for us to get all the tanks and planes ready for WWII . . .
And it took the island of Samsø 10 years to go almost all renewable; see this great article in the New Yorker if you haven't: http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2008/07/07/080707fa_fact_kolbert
But I am skeptical the U.S. will make such huge changes in utilities in 10 years. The price of coal isn't crazy high like oil right now, and the nuclear business is still kicking . . .
Still, we should give it a go. There's a quote in that article about how the Stone Age didn't end because we ran out of stones . . .
Thanks for the article "DH." I will peruse it this weekend while enjoying a Heath bar and a cup of tea. :) We should definitely give it a go. You're right, coal is still cheap and in abundance, but the price of PV is coming down rapidly (once silicon production ramps up) and the efficiency is improving. Combined these will give coal a run for its money very soon (3-5 years?). Not to mention the increasing awareness by everyday people that coal-burning electricity plants are a major contributing factor to declining air quality. I really hope we don't wait until we are literally choking (like the attendees at the summer Olympics in Bejing will do) until we demand change. Let's keep educating and writing and spreading the word about renewable energy. If we do that it'll happen.
ReplyDeleteAnd you are my hero DH! Keep writing.